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Red98
385925.1
84638.3
68723.2
Blue58
76615.9
213517.0
325626.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions854902040601001201401609858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#24
38.30.8
34.435.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop38.4
End0.0
red by 11.6
3256
#26
26.80.1
23.523.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop27.1
End0.0
Second
3859
#14
25.10.8
25.526.3
Auto-1.2
Teleop26.3
End0.0
red by 8.1
2135
#29
17.00.1
16.917.0
Auto0.2
Teleop16.8
End0.0
Third
687
#15
23.20.8
22.523.2
Auto0.9
Teleop22.4
End0.0
red by 7.4
766
#28
15.90.1
15.815.9
Auto-0.9
Teleop16.8
End0.0