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Red156
97376.7
39959.1
50269.9
Blue194
198376.3
135121.3
254125.7
2%Model gave it98%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112229050150200250300156194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#6
76.71.0
71.372.4
Auto0.2
Teleop76.5
End0.0
blue by 49.1
254
#1
125.71.2
122.7121.5
Auto16.2
Teleop109.6
End0.0
Second
399
#9
59.11.0
54.956.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop59.3
End0.0
blue by 17.2
76.31.2
73.872.6
Auto0.8
Teleop75.5
End0.0
Third
5026
#20
9.91.0
8.99.9
Auto0.2
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 11.4
1351
#23
21.31.2
21.920.6
Auto1.0
Teleop20.3
End0.0