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Red202
173076.7
161976.6
459319.3
Blue150
449939.1
172340.8
531824.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17883050100150200250300202150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.70.5
75.776.3
Auto12.9
Teleop63.8
End0.0
red by 35.9
40.80.8
39.840.6
Auto2.4
Teleop38.4
End0.0
Second
76.60.5
75.676.2
Auto0.9
Teleop75.7
End0.0
red by 37.5
4499
#10
39.10.8
38.138.9
Auto1.9
Teleop37.2
End0.0
Third
4593
#33
19.30.7
18.118.8
Auto1.3
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 4.7
5318
#34
24.01.0
22.823.8
Auto3.0
Teleop21.0
End0.0