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Red198
173076.7
161976.6
459319.3
Blue114
449939.1
172340.8
531824.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17985050100150200250300198114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.70.4
76.376.7
Auto12.9
Teleop63.8
End0.0
red by 35.9
40.80.2
40.640.8
Auto2.4
Teleop38.4
End0.0
Second
76.60.4
76.276.6
Auto0.9
Teleop75.7
End0.0
red by 37.5
4499
#10
39.10.2
38.939.1
Auto1.9
Teleop37.2
End0.0
Third
4593
#33
19.30.5
18.819.3
Auto1.3
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 4.7
5318
#34
24.00.2
23.824.0
Auto3.0
Teleop21.0
End0.0