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Red70
173076.7
208319.3
438613.9
Blue35
299642.1
438821.5
22598.9
72%Model gave it28%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions885401001502007035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.71.0
66.365.3
Auto12.9
Teleop63.8
End0.0
red by 34.7
2996
#12
42.11.6
38.036.4
Auto2.2
Teleop39.8
End0.0
Second
2083
#42
19.31.3
9.17.8
Auto-0.6
Teleop19.9
End0.0
blue by 2.2
4388
#26
21.52.2
12.19.9
Auto0.4
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Third
4386
#45
13.91.3
10.49.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop14.4
End0.0
red by 4.9
2259
#50
8.92.2
11.29.0
Auto0.3
Teleop8.6
End0.0