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Red66
141031.2
158323.2
335418.8
Blue34
80135.3
459319.3
172340.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526001001502002503003504006634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1410
#11
31.20.7
27.027.6
Auto0.3
Teleop30.9
End0.0
blue by 9.6
40.81.7
30.028.3
Auto2.4
Teleop38.4
End0.0
Second
1583
#24
23.20.9
14.014.9
Auto0.9
Teleop22.3
End0.0
blue by 12.1
801
#5
35.31.7
20.618.9
Auto0.4
Teleop34.9
End0.0
Third
3354
#30
18.80.6
14.314.9
Auto0.6
Teleop18.3
End0.0
blue by 0.4
4593
#33
19.32.3
10.68.3
Auto1.3
Teleop18.0
End0.0