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Qual 162015 Colorado Regional
Red30
548513.6
449939.1
113819.1
Blue69
459319.3
69824.1
548930.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56532040801001203069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4499
#10
39.11.4
31.4→30.0
Auto1.9
Teleop37.2
End0.0
red by 8.7
5489
#15
30.40.7
30.2→30.9
Auto0.8
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Second
1138
#22
19.11.6
13.9→12.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop19.2
End0.0
blue by 4.9
698
#13
24.10.6
18.0→18.6
Auto0.1
Teleop24.0
End0.0
Third
5485
#46
13.62.1
10.4→8.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.8
End0.0
blue by 5.7
4593
#33
19.31.0
8.3→9.3
Auto1.3
Teleop18.0
End0.0