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Red29
380715.8
549312.9
124512.5
Blue38
133221.3
531824.0
141031.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28700501001502002938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3807
#41
15.80.6
11.811.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.1
End0.0
blue by 15.4
1410
#11
31.21.5
27.626.1
Auto0.3
Teleop30.9
End0.0
Second
5493
#43
12.90.6
9.48.9
Auto0.6
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 11.1
5318
#34
24.02.3
15.413.1
Auto3.0
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Third
1245
#44
12.50.6
14.513.9
Auto0.5
Teleop12.0
End0.0
blue by 8.8
1332
#28
21.31.5
22.621.1
Auto0.4
Teleop20.9
End0.0