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Red54
179919.0
141031.2
203620.7
Blue52
297227.1
15848.3
548513.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4948354045505560655452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1410
#11
31.20.2
26.126.3
Auto0.3
Teleop30.9
End0.0
red by 4.0
2972
#23
27.10.7
26.627.3
Auto0.4
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Second
2036
#39
20.70.3
10.711.0
Auto0.0
Teleop20.7
End0.0
red by 7.1
5485
#46
13.61.2
8.39.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.8
End0.0
Third
1799
#27
19.00.3
13.613.9
Auto0.5
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 10.7
1584
#49
8.31.2
14.816.0
Auto0.1
Teleop8.3
End0.0