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Red78
115721.6
323937.7
69824.1
Blue26
420613.3
531824.0
459319.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6327040801001201401607826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.70.9
25.926.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop37.9
End0.0
red by 13.7
5318
#34
24.00.6
13.112.4
Auto3.0
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Second
698
#13
24.10.9
18.619.6
Auto0.1
Teleop24.0
End0.0
red by 4.8
4593
#33
19.30.6
9.38.7
Auto1.3
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
1157
#21
21.61.5
14.916.4
Auto0.1
Teleop21.5
End0.0
red by 8.4
4206
#37
13.30.4
11.210.9
Auto0.1
Teleop13.2
End0.0