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Red52
548513.6
328831.5
549312.9
Blue40
438821.5
364821.0
294518.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514402060801005240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.50.0
28.128.1
Auto0.1
Teleop31.5
End0.0
red by 10.0
4388
#26
21.50.1
17.417.4
Auto0.4
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Second
5485
#46
13.60.0
9.09.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.8
End0.0
blue by 7.4
3648
#25
21.00.1
14.814.8
Auto0.3
Teleop20.6
End0.0
Third
5493
#43
12.90.0
14.514.5
Auto0.6
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 5.1
2945
#40
18.10.1
14.514.4
Auto1.4
Teleop16.7
End0.0