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Red107
113819.1
297227.1
161976.6
Blue163
320046.1
158323.2
173076.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081190200400600800107163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.60.3
71.571.2
Auto0.9
Teleop75.7
End0.0
blue by 0.1
76.72.1
64.866.9
Auto12.9
Teleop63.8
End0.0
Second
2972
#23
27.10.3
27.026.7
Auto0.4
Teleop26.8
End0.0
blue by 19.0
46.12.1
38.640.7
Auto1.0
Teleop45.2
End0.0
Third
1138
#22
19.10.3
14.714.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop19.2
End0.0
blue by 4.1
1583
#24
23.23.5
17.921.4
Auto0.9
Teleop22.3
End0.0