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Red81
323937.7
133941.1
197715.0
Blue54
203620.7
172340.8
124512.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions765501001502008154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.10.3
27.527.8
Auto1.1
Teleop40.0
End0.0
red by 0.3
40.80.0
33.133.1
Auto2.4
Teleop38.4
End0.0
Second
37.70.3
30.130.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop37.9
End0.0
red by 17.0
2036
#39
20.70.0
13.713.6
Auto0.0
Teleop20.7
End0.0
Third
1977
#32
15.00.4
18.218.7
Auto0.5
Teleop14.4
End0.0
red by 2.5
1245
#44
12.50.0
13.313.3
Auto0.5
Teleop12.0
End0.0