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Qual 412015 Colorado Regional
Red40
459319.3
101126.3
441826.0
Blue18
15848.3
420613.3
15911.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5145204060801004018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1011
#14
26.30.3
20.5→20.2
Auto0.2
Teleop26.1
End0.0
red by 13.0
4206
#37
13.30.9
12.9→12.0
Auto0.1
Teleop13.2
End0.0
Second
4418
#16
26.00.5
22.3→21.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.3
End0.0
red by 14.7
159
#48
11.40.9
16.9→16.0
Auto0.6
Teleop10.8
End0.0
Third
4593
#33
19.30.5
8.8→8.4
Auto1.3
Teleop18.0
End0.0
red by 10.9
1584
#49
8.31.5
17.9→16.4
Auto0.1
Teleop8.3
End0.0