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Qual 432015 Colorado Regional
Red115
380715.8
66242.0
141031.2
Blue151
438613.9
161976.6
69824.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79104050150200250115151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
662
#9
42.01.5
44.6→46.0
Auto0.8
Teleop41.2
End0.0
blue by 34.6
1619
#1
76.62.4
71.2→73.5
Auto0.9
Teleop75.7
End0.0
Second
1410
#11
31.21.5
28.4→29.9
Auto0.3
Teleop30.9
End0.0
red by 7.1
698
#13
24.12.4
20.7→23.1
Auto0.1
Teleop24.0
End0.0
Third
3807
#41
15.82.5
12.6→15.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.1
End0.0
red by 1.9
4386
#45
13.93.9
11.8→15.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop14.4
End0.0