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Qual 442015 Colorado Regional
Red112
364821.0
565715.0
80135.3
Blue169
124512.5
133941.1
173076.7
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32117050100150200250112169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
801
#5
35.33.3
27.0→30.3
Auto0.4
Teleop34.9
End0.0
blue by 41.4
1730
#2
76.73.0
66.9→70.0
Auto12.9
Teleop63.8
End0.0
Second
3648
#25
21.05.5
14.8→20.2
Auto0.3
Teleop20.6
End0.0
blue by 20.2
1339
#4
41.13.0
27.8→30.8
Auto1.1
Teleop40.0
End0.0
Third
5657
#35
15.05.5
4.7→10.2
Auto1.6
Teleop13.4
End0.0
red by 2.5
1245
#44
12.55.1
13.3→18.4
Auto0.5
Teleop12.0
End0.0