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Red62
226121.7
101126.3
15848.3
Blue64
455033.1
531824.0
158323.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions466701001502006264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1011
#14
26.30.6
20.220.8
Auto0.2
Teleop26.1
End0.0
blue by 6.8
4550
#29
33.10.1
32.332.2
Auto0.0
Teleop33.1
End0.0
Second
2261
#31
21.71.0
13.914.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.8
End0.0
blue by 2.3
5318
#34
24.00.2
12.512.3
Auto3.0
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Third
1584
#49
8.31.0
16.417.4
Auto0.1
Teleop8.3
End0.0
blue by 14.9
1583
#24DQ
23.20.2
21.421.2
Auto0.9
Teleop22.3
End0.0