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Red36
133221.3
420613.3
438821.5
Blue54
15911.4
548930.4
429322.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions466701001502002503654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4388
#26
21.50.8
17.416.6
Auto0.4
Teleop21.1
End0.0
blue by 8.9
5489
#15
30.40.6
31.230.6
Auto0.8
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Second
1332
#28
21.30.5
21.821.3
Auto0.4
Teleop20.9
End0.0
blue by 1.6
4293
#18
22.91.0
18.617.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.2
End0.0
Third
4206
#37
13.30.5
12.011.6
Auto0.1
Teleop13.2
End0.0
red by 1.9
159
#48
11.40.6
16.015.4
Auto0.6
Teleop10.8
End0.0