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Red74
224021.7
459319.3
323937.7
Blue22
22598.9
372910.8
438613.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61350501001507422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.70.7
30.331.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop37.9
End0.0
red by 23.8
4386
#45
13.91.5
15.714.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Second
2240
#19
21.71.2
20.621.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 10.9
3729
#47
10.81.5
14.913.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.1
End0.0
Third
4593
#33
19.31.2
8.49.6
Auto1.3
Teleop18.0
End0.0
red by 10.4
2259
#50
8.91.5
9.47.9
Auto0.3
Teleop8.6
End0.0