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Red48
294518.1
548513.6
406822.5
Blue77
287420.3
130320.4
172340.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32640501001502004877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4068
#36
22.50.8
14.615.4
Auto0.5
Teleop22.0
End0.0
blue by 18.3
40.80.8
33.133.9
Auto2.4
Teleop38.4
End0.0
Second
2945
#40
18.10.8
14.415.2
Auto1.4
Teleop16.7
End0.0
blue by 2.3
1303
#20
20.41.3
16.517.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.6
End0.0
Third
5485
#46
13.60.8
9.09.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.8
End0.0
blue by 6.7
2874
#17
20.30.8
11.412.2
Auto0.1
Teleop20.2
End0.0