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Red112
441826.0
115721.6
494422.0
Blue71
208319.3
549312.9
297227.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4455010015020025030011271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4418
#16
26.05.4
21.927.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.3
End0.0
blue by 1.1
2972
#23
27.11.4
26.728.1
Auto0.4
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Second
4944
#38
22.05.4
12.618.0
Auto0.7
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 2.8
2083
#42
19.32.3
13.916.2
Auto-0.6
Teleop19.9
End0.0
Third
1157
#21
21.65.4
12.718.1
Auto0.1
Teleop21.5
End0.0
red by 8.7
5493
#43
12.92.3
14.516.8
Auto0.6
Teleop12.3
End0.0