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Red105
429322.9
203620.7
438821.5
Blue45
158323.2
224021.7
565715.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51502040608010010545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4293
#18
22.94.5
17.722.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.2
End0.0
blue by 0.3
1583
#24
23.20.8
21.222.0
Auto0.9
Teleop22.3
End0.0
Second
4388
#26
21.54.5
16.621.1
Auto0.4
Teleop21.1
End0.0
blue by 0.2
2240
#19
21.70.8
21.822.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Third
2036
#39
20.74.5
16.821.3
Auto0.0
Teleop20.7
End0.0
red by 5.7
5657
#35
15.00.8
10.211.0
Auto1.6
Teleop13.4
End0.0