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Red36
130320.4
297227.1
197715.0
Blue93
287420.3
459319.3
455033.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5554204060801003693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2972
#23
27.11.0
26.925.9
Auto0.4
Teleop26.8
End0.0
blue by 6.0
4550
#29
33.11.8
29.931.6
Auto0.0
Teleop33.1
End0.0
Second
1303
#20
20.41.5
17.716.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.6
End0.0
red by 0.1
2874
#17
20.31.8
15.116.9
Auto0.1
Teleop20.2
End0.0
Third
1977
#32
15.01.5
11.09.5
Auto0.5
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 4.3
4593
#33
19.32.8
12.515.3
Auto1.3
Teleop18.0
End0.0