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Red114
323937.7
101126.3
548513.6
Blue66
226121.7
133221.3
208319.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5849020408010012011466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.72.8
28.431.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop37.9
End0.0
red by 16.0
2261
#31
21.71.1
13.114.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Second
1011
#14
26.32.8
21.324.1
Auto0.2
Teleop26.1
End0.0
red by 4.9
1332
#28
21.30.7
23.123.8
Auto0.4
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Third
5485
#46
13.64.3
8.813.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.8
End0.0
blue by 5.7
2083
#42
19.31.1
16.017.1
Auto-0.6
Teleop19.9
End0.0