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Qual 642015 Colorado Regional
Red9
438821.5
335418.8
549312.9
Blue56
299642.1
15848.3
372910.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50670100150200250956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4388
#26
21.53.5
21.1→17.6
Auto0.4
Teleop21.1
End0.0
blue by 20.6
2996
#12
42.10.5
40.5→40.0
Auto2.2
Teleop39.8
End0.0
Second
3354
#30
18.82.3
17.9→15.6
Auto0.6
Teleop18.3
End0.0
red by 8.1
3729
#47
10.80.8
12.3→11.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.1
End0.0
Third
5493
#43
12.93.5
15.1→11.6
Auto0.6
Teleop12.3
End0.0
red by 4.6
1584
#49
8.30.8
13.5→12.7
Auto0.1
Teleop8.3
End0.0