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Qual 692015 Colorado Regional
Red88
130320.4
179919.0
438821.5
Blue114
335418.8
226121.7
323937.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4561010015020025088114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4388
#26
21.52.8
17.6→20.4
Auto0.4
Teleop21.1
End0.0
blue by 16.2
3239
#6
37.72.6
31.2→33.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop37.9
End0.0
Second
1303
#20
20.42.8
16.1→18.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.6
End0.0
blue by 1.3
2261
#31
21.73.8
14.2→18.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Third
1799
#27
19.02.8
15.5→18.3
Auto0.5
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 0.2
3354
#30
18.82.6
15.6→18.3
Auto0.6
Teleop18.3
End0.0