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Qual 702015 Colorado Regional
Red132
173076.7
197715.0
101126.3
Blue49
449939.1
15848.3
429322.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1106505015020025013249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1730
#2
76.71.2
73.8→75.0
Auto12.9
Teleop63.8
End0.0
red by 37.6
4499
#10
39.11.3
37.9→36.6
Auto1.9
Teleop37.2
End0.0
Second
1011
#14
26.31.2
24.1→25.3
Auto0.2
Teleop26.1
End0.0
red by 3.4
4293
#18
22.91.8
23.6→21.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.2
End0.0
Third
1977
#32
15.01.8
9.5→11.3
Auto0.5
Teleop14.4
End0.0
red by 6.6
1584
#49
8.31.8
12.7→10.8
Auto0.1
Teleop8.3
End0.0