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Red35
420613.3
22598.9
141031.2
Blue71
406822.5
297227.1
455033.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions448101001502003571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1410
#11
31.20.8
30.629.7
Auto0.3
Teleop30.9
End0.0
blue by 1.9
4550
#29
33.10.4
31.631.3
Auto0.0
Teleop33.1
End0.0
Second
4206
#37
13.30.8
14.613.8
Auto0.1
Teleop13.2
End0.0
blue by 13.9
2972
#23
27.10.4
25.925.5
Auto0.4
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Third
2259
#50DQ
8.91.2
6.45.2
Auto0.3
Teleop8.6
End0.0
blue by 13.6
4068
#36
22.50.5
20.820.3
Auto0.5
Teleop22.0
End0.0