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Red4
15911.4
224021.7
438613.9
Blue82
113819.1
531824.0
287420.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51450206080100482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2240
#19
21.73.5
23.720.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 2.3
5318
#34
24.02.5
15.518.0
Auto3.0
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Second
4386
#45
13.93.5
14.711.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 6.5
2874
#17
20.31.7
16.918.6
Auto0.1
Teleop20.2
End0.0
Third
159
#48
11.42.4
13.711.3
Auto0.6
Teleop10.8
End0.0
blue by 7.8
1138
#22
19.11.7
15.116.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop19.2
End0.0