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Qual 782015 Colorado Regional
Red69
494422.0
449939.1
66242.0
Blue117
141031.2
287420.3
323937.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1057505015020069117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
662
#9
42.01.7
43.0→41.2
Auto0.8
Teleop41.2
End0.0
red by 4.3
3239
#6
37.71.7
33.8→35.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop37.9
End0.0
Second
4499
#10
39.11.7
36.6→34.9
Auto1.9
Teleop37.2
End0.0
red by 7.9
1410
#11
31.21.7
29.7→31.5
Auto0.3
Teleop30.9
End0.0
Third
4944
#38
22.02.3
24.3→22.0
Auto0.7
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 1.7
2874
#17
20.31.7
18.6→20.3
Auto0.1
Teleop20.2
End0.0