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Red134
299642.1
133941.1
565715.0
Blue90
22598.9
226121.7
197715.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions972205015020013490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2996
#12
42.12.3
40.142.3
Auto2.2
Teleop39.8
End0.0
red by 20.3
2261
#31
21.73.7
18.021.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Second
41.12.3
36.839.0
Auto1.1
Teleop40.0
End0.0
red by 26.2
1977
#32
15.03.7
11.315.0
Auto0.5
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
5657
#35
15.03.0
12.015.0
Auto1.6
Teleop13.4
End0.0
red by 6.1
2259
#50
8.93.7
5.28.9
Auto0.3
Teleop8.6
End0.0