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Red39
5763-0.2
124512.5
161976.6
Blue39
203620.7
420613.3
548513.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104380501502002503939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.62.6
78.575.8
Auto0.9
Teleop75.7
End0.0
red by 55.9
2036
#39
20.70.7
21.420.7
Auto0.0
Teleop20.7
End0.0
Second
1245
#44
12.53.5
16.012.5
Auto0.5
Teleop12.0
End0.0
blue by 1.1
5485
#46
13.60.7
14.313.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.8
End0.0
Third
5763
#51
-0.23.5
3.3-0.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop-0.0
End0.0
blue by 13.5
4206
#37
13.30.5
13.813.3
Auto0.1
Teleop13.2
End0.0