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Red54
283636.9
514218.3
318222.5
Blue70
457223.7
83931.4
199134.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40710501001502005470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.90.4
22.022.3
Auto-0.6
Teleop37.5
End0.0
red by 2.4
1991
#16
34.60.1
27.827.9
Auto0.7
Teleop33.8
End0.0
Second
3182
#34
22.50.4
16.416.8
Auto1.3
Teleop21.2
End0.0
blue by 8.9
839
#14
31.40.1
23.623.7
Auto0.3
Teleop31.1
End0.0
Third
5142
#23
18.30.4
7.88.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
blue by 5.4
4572
#17
23.70.1
17.217.3
Auto0.5
Teleop23.3
End0.0