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Red42
405543.4
462812.8
512916.3
Blue14
278525.2
568611.0
574620.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6140020801001201404214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4055
#11
43.40.9
37.936.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop43.8
End0.0
red by 18.2
2785
#22
25.21.2
17.616.3
Auto0.4
Teleop24.9
End0.0
Second
5129
#39
16.30.9
13.712.8
Auto0.6
Teleop15.7
End0.0
blue by 4.3
5746
#28
20.51.2
13.111.8
Auto0.5
Teleop20.1
End0.0
Third
4628
#32
12.80.9
8.57.6
Auto-0.7
Teleop13.5
End0.0
red by 1.8
5686
#40
11.01.2
14.313.0
Auto1.0
Teleop9.9
End0.0