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Red103
19566.2
318222.5
365418.1
Blue64
9523.2
17333.4
23059.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7310905015020025010364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
66.21.1
51.052.0
Auto-1.5
Teleop67.7
End0.0
red by 6.5
230
#3
59.72.2
54.252.0
Auto5.0
Teleop54.7
End0.0
Second
3182
#34
22.51.1
15.816.9
Auto1.3
Teleop21.2
End0.0
blue by 10.9
173
#10
33.42.2
23.221.0
Auto0.1
Teleop33.3
End0.0
Third
3654
#31
18.11.1
14.615.7
Auto-0.8
Teleop18.9
End0.0
blue by 5.1
95
#36
23.22.2
30.428.2
Auto0.1
Teleop23.1
End0.0