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Red109
514218.3
174022.3
314638.8
Blue65
457223.7
17732.8
206429.6
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5063010015020025030010965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.82.8
32.335.0
Auto1.3
Teleop37.4
End0.0
red by 6.0
177
#12
32.80.1
20.921.0
Auto1.7
Teleop31.0
End0.0
Second
1740
#13
22.32.8
14.016.7
Auto0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 7.4
2064
#33
29.60.1
24.624.7
Auto-0.6
Teleop30.2
End0.0
Third
5142
#23
18.32.8
7.310.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
blue by 5.4
4572
#17
23.70.1
17.517.6
Auto0.5
Teleop23.3
End0.0