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Red59
83931.4
23641.4
46724.0
Blue36
310416.6
355519.3
405543.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89620501001502005936

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#15
41.41.5
39.838.3
Auto5.6
Teleop35.8
End0.0
blue by 2.0
4055
#11
43.41.6
39.037.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop43.8
End0.0
Second
839
#14
31.41.5
28.326.9
Auto0.3
Teleop31.1
End0.0
red by 12.1
3555
#27
19.31.6
17.616.0
Auto0.0
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Third
467
#21
24.01.5
20.218.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
red by 7.4
3104
#29
16.61.6
11.610.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.8
End0.0