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Red107
455725.7
206762.3
199134.6
Blue109
22819.5
217050.9
169935.8
68%Model gave it32%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10177050150200107109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.30.3
48.949.2
Auto1.4
Teleop60.9
End0.0
red by 11.4
50.91.3
37.438.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop51.1
End0.0
Second
1991
#16
34.60.3
29.730.0
Auto0.7
Teleop33.8
End0.0
blue by 1.3
35.81.3
27.428.6
Auto1.1
Teleop34.7
End0.0
Third
4557
#20
25.70.3
22.522.8
Auto1.5
Teleop24.2
End0.0
red by 6.2
228
#30
19.51.3
19.220.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.5
End0.0