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Red79
568611.0
18126.5
363424.9
Blue100
283636.9
346416.8
574620.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544702040608010012079100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181
#24
26.51.2
22.023.2
Auto0.7
Teleop25.7
End0.0
blue by 10.5
36.92.5
24.426.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop37.5
End0.0
Second
3634
#19
24.91.2
18.719.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop25.1
End0.0
red by 4.3
5746
#28
20.52.5
13.516.0
Auto0.5
Teleop20.1
End0.0
Third
5686
#40
11.01.2
14.515.7
Auto1.0
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 5.8
3464
#38
16.82.5
11.914.5
Auto1.3
Teleop15.4
End0.0