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Red152
17823.0
23059.7
112437.2
Blue76
17539.3
314638.8
512916.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1027105015020015276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#3
59.72.6
52.054.6
Auto5.0
Teleop54.7
End0.0
red by 20.4
175
#8
39.30.1
28.728.6
Auto0.9
Teleop38.4
End0.0
Second
1124
#18
37.22.6
27.630.2
Auto2.8
Teleop34.3
End0.0
blue by 1.6
38.80.1
35.034.9
Auto1.3
Teleop37.4
End0.0
Third
178
#35
23.02.6
21.023.5
Auto0.1
Teleop22.9
End0.0
red by 6.7
5129
#39
16.30.1
14.914.8
Auto0.6
Teleop15.7
End0.0