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Red96
57132.0
17732.8
409722.0
Blue88
169935.8
457223.7
99941.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65850501001502002503009688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#12
32.81.3
24.425.7
Auto1.7
Teleop31.0
End0.0
blue by 8.2
999
#6
41.00.2
36.736.9
Auto0.0
Teleop41.0
End0.0
Second
571
#26
32.01.3
28.329.6
Auto1.0
Teleop31.0
End0.0
blue by 3.9
35.80.2
28.728.8
Auto1.1
Teleop34.7
End0.0
Third
4097
#37
22.01.3
17.618.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop22.5
End0.0
blue by 1.8
4572
#17
23.70.2
19.119.3
Auto0.5
Teleop23.3
End0.0