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Red124
174022.3
206762.3
46724.0
Blue136
19566.2
514218.3
363424.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8885607080100110120130124136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.31.6
53.955.5
Auto1.4
Teleop60.9
End0.0
blue by 3.9
195
#1
66.22.4
55.257.5
Auto-1.5
Teleop67.7
End0.0
Second
467
#21
24.01.6
19.320.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
blue by 0.8
3634
#19
24.92.4
21.724.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop25.1
End0.0
Third
1740
#13
22.31.6
18.019.6
Auto0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 3.9
5142
#23
18.32.4
12.114.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0