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Red61
9523.2
355519.3
17823.0
Blue79
55833.8
365418.1
278525.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69642040801006179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#36
23.20.5
28.327.8
Auto0.1
Teleop23.1
End0.0
blue by 10.6
558
#25
33.80.6
28.028.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop33.9
End0.0
Second
178
#35
23.00.5
21.220.8
Auto0.1
Teleop22.9
End0.0
blue by 2.3
2785
#22
25.20.6
22.623.2
Auto0.4
Teleop24.9
End0.0
Third
3555
#27
19.30.5
20.920.4
Auto0.0
Teleop19.3
End0.0
red by 1.2
3654
#31
18.10.6
16.216.9
Auto-0.8
Teleop18.9
End0.0