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Red136
57132.0
17539.3
457223.7
Blue117
217050.9
206429.6
17333.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76850200300400136117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#8
39.32.8
31.133.9
Auto0.9
Teleop38.4
End0.0
blue by 11.6
50.91.5
41.342.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop51.1
End0.0
Second
571
#26
32.02.8
29.632.4
Auto1.0
Teleop31.0
End0.0
blue by 1.4
173
#10
33.41.5
21.923.4
Auto0.1
Teleop33.3
End0.0
Third
4572
#17
23.72.8
19.322.1
Auto0.5
Teleop23.3
End0.0
blue by 5.9
2064
#33
29.61.5
23.425.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop30.2
End0.0