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Red54
455725.7
457223.7
512916.3
Blue121
23059.7
99941.0
19566.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39158010020025030054121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4557
#20
25.70.3
21.120.8
Auto1.5
Teleop24.2
End0.0
blue by 40.5
195
#1
66.21.2
57.556.3
Auto-1.5
Teleop67.7
End0.0
Second
4572
#17
23.70.3
22.121.9
Auto0.5
Teleop23.3
End0.0
blue by 35.9
230
#3
59.71.2
50.849.6
Auto5.0
Teleop54.7
End0.0
Third
5129
#39
16.30.3
16.015.7
Auto0.6
Teleop15.7
End0.0
blue by 24.7
999
#6
41.01.2
36.935.7
Auto0.0
Teleop41.0
End0.0