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Red42
405543.4
514218.3
409722.0
Blue84
314638.8
363424.9
462812.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6968455560657075804284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4055
#11
43.41.2
37.836.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop43.8
End0.0
red by 4.7
38.80.7
35.335.9
Auto1.3
Teleop37.4
End0.0
Second
4097
#37
22.01.2
18.917.7
Auto-0.6
Teleop22.5
End0.0
blue by 2.9
3634
#19
24.90.7
24.024.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop25.1
End0.0
Third
5142
#23
18.31.2
14.413.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
red by 5.5
4628
#32
12.80.7
11.612.2
Auto-0.7
Teleop13.5
End0.0