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Red118
46724.0
55833.8
18126.5
Blue116
365418.1
283636.9
174022.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69620204080100120140118116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#25
33.82.4
28.631.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop33.9
End0.0
blue by 3.1
36.92.5
28.631.1
Auto-0.6
Teleop37.5
End0.0
Second
181
#24
26.52.4
20.923.3
Auto0.7
Teleop25.7
End0.0
red by 4.2
1740
#13
22.32.5
19.622.2
Auto0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Third
467
#21
24.02.4
20.923.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
red by 6.0
3654
#31
18.12.5
16.919.4
Auto-0.8
Teleop18.9
End0.0