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Red73
17333.4
318222.5
310416.6
Blue89
455725.7
206429.6
23641.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions489001001502007389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
#10
33.40.9
23.424.2
Auto0.1
Teleop33.3
End0.0
blue by 8.0
236
#15
41.40.1
40.440.6
Auto5.6
Teleop35.8
End0.0
Second
3182
#34
22.50.9
19.420.3
Auto1.3
Teleop21.2
End0.0
blue by 7.1
2064
#33
29.60.1
25.025.1
Auto-0.6
Teleop30.2
End0.0
Third
3104
#29
16.60.9
13.214.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.8
End0.0
blue by 9.0
4557
#20
25.70.1
20.821.0
Auto1.5
Teleop24.2
End0.0