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Red40
9523.2
568611.0
46724.0
Blue81
17732.8
199134.6
17823.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions577601001502002504081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#21
24.01.1
23.322.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
blue by 10.5
1991
#16
34.60.2
28.228.4
Auto0.7
Teleop33.8
End0.0
Second
95
#36
23.21.1
23.722.6
Auto0.1
Teleop23.1
End0.0
blue by 9.6
177
#12
32.80.2
28.228.4
Auto1.7
Teleop31.0
End0.0
Third
5686
#40
11.01.1
15.214.1
Auto1.0
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 12.0
178
#35
23.00.2
19.820.1
Auto0.1
Teleop22.9
End0.0