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Red138
455725.7
169935.8
17333.4
Blue152
405543.4
112437.2
99941.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67104050150200250138152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.83.1
30.233.4
Auto1.1
Teleop34.7
End0.0
blue by 7.6
4055
#11
43.42.8
36.739.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop43.8
End0.0
Second
173
#10
33.43.1
24.227.4
Auto0.1
Teleop33.3
End0.0
blue by 7.6
999
#6
41.02.8
35.738.5
Auto0.0
Teleop41.0
End0.0
Third
4557
#20
25.73.1
21.024.1
Auto1.5
Teleop24.2
End0.0
blue by 11.5
1124
#18
37.22.8
29.732.5
Auto2.8
Teleop34.3
End0.0